Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Surge in Rates Have a Huge Impact on Housing


According to Bloomberg report, the S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values increased 12.1 percent from April 2012, the biggest year-over-year gain since March 2006, after advancing from 10.9 percent increase last month.  CoreLogic, a company that provides comprehensive data, analytics and services to real estate professionals, forecasted a 13% increase in year over year home prices for next month. 

Low inventory, historic low mortgage rates and an improving job market - combined all that with increasing demand are what drive the home prices up.

Based from Freddie Mac data, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was 3.93% in the week ended June 20, compared with an average 3.55% so far in 2013. Rates have been going up because the Federal Reserve has warned that it might cut back on buying mortgaged-back securities and end the purchases around the middle of 2014.  If that happens, lenders can possibly, charge higher rates to make the securities more attractive to private buyers.

Home buyers that didn't take advantage of record-low rates have missed the boat.  Fannie Mae's chief economist Doug Duncan said that, "It's unlikely that rates will ever be that low again".  But there's still time to take the opportunity of still historic low mortgage rates.  It might not be as low as 3.31% recorded last year, however, it is still considered low. The table below shows the estimated payments for different mortgage rates.


Home Value
Loan Amount (10% DP)
Interest Rate (30-yr fixed rate)
Monthly Payment
Total 360 Payments
Total Interest Paid
% of Interest Paid to Total Payments
$250,000
$225,000
3.5%
$1,270.77
$457,476.20
$132,726.20
29%
$250,000
$225,000
4.0%
$1,334.60
$480,456.39
$155,331.39
32%
$250,000
$225,000
4.5%
$1,400.46
$504,165.10
$178,571.35
35%
$250,000
$225,000
6.5%
$1,682.57
$605,725.10
$278,162.60
46%







$350,000
$315,000
3.5%
$1,779.07
$640,466.68
$185,816.68
29%
$350,000
$315,000
4.0%
$1,868.44
$672,638.95
$217,463.95
32%
$350,000
$315,000
4.5%
$1,960.64
$705,831.14
$249,999.89
35%
$350,000
$315,000
6.5%
$2,355.60
$848,015.14
$389,427.64
46%







$500,000
$450,000
3.5%
$2,541.53
$914,952.39
$265,452.39
29%
$500,000
$450,000
4.0%
$2,669.20
$960,912.78
$310,662.78
32%
$500,000
$450,000
4.5%
$2,800.92
$1,008,330.20
$357,142.70
35%
$500,000
$450,000
6.5%
$3,365.14
$1,211,450.20
$556,325.20
46%

Avoid paying 46% of your total mortgage payments to paying off the interest. Take advantage of the low mortgage rates NOW!!  The economy is still on its way to recovery, once the economy returns to its robust health, mortgage rates will naturally go up!  If the interest rates keep climbing, then buyers currently in transactions should ask their lender about locking in those rates.  Buyers and sellers need to act fast! Talk to a realtor now, while homes are still affordable. 



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